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Monday, September 1, 2003
Ohio Needs to Plan Now to Weather
the Next Recession
by Amy Hanauer, Executive
Director, Policy Matters Ohio
Akron Beacon Journal
A number of government sources show Ohio is
suffering more than the country as a whole in the wake of the 2001
recession, and more than the state suffered after the recession of the
1990s. We've hemorrhaged 3.3 percent of our jobs, more than three times as
much as in the last recession. With 185,000 positions vanished, we've lost
more than all other states, except California and New York.
Most of the losses have been in the high-paying manufacturing sector, and,
unlike other states, gains in other sectors have done little to fill the
gap. Union membership keeps dropping, unemployment has risen, and more
workers are exhausting state unemployment benefits before finding new
jobs. About the only bright spot in the economic news is that wages
haven't dropped, although family income has.
So what's a Rust Belt state to do?
Fortunately, there are some good answers. In the heady 1990s, Ohio cut
taxes, slashed unemployment fees paid by employers, and failed to build a
sufficient rainy day fund or invest enough in educational equity, higher
education and worker training. When the recession hit and jobs evaporated,
needs climbed. Yet, we were caught with few savings and big expenses. That
is not good emergency preparedness.
Since 2001, we've taken steps that can deepen a recession. We cut some
spending, which makes the economy contract. We raised regressive taxes.
While tax revenue was sorely needed, progressive taxation does less
economic damage. We laid off state workers, leaving people without jobs
and with less money to spend in their communities.
Ohio needs to light candles to get through this economic power outage and
invest in batteries, flashlights and other essentials for the next one.
Here are five ways to start:
• Improve the state's long-term fiscal policy. Ohio should restore its
shrinking corporate franchise tax, increase the rate paid on the top
income tax bracket and, as Gov. Bob Taft has proposed, extend the sales
tax to cover services. The additional funds can support priorities and, as
the economy recovers, build a rainy day fund, providing resources for
stimulus in the next blackout.
• Stimulate the economy. A recession and its wake is a great time to
invest in capital spending projects, for which the state is permitted to
borrow money. Interest rates are low, borrowing is cheap, and construction
projects can get people working and provide consumers with cash to be
respent in their communities.
Ohio is doing some of this already with its school facilities renovations.
We can also expand brownfield remediation, construct energy-efficient
housing and ensure sufficient private investment in the electrical power
grid.
• Maintain government spending. Like states around the nation we sliced
parts of our budget when tax revenues began dropping. But cutting spending
has a ``pro-cyclical effect'' -- depressing the economy when it needs
stimulus and potentially worsening the recession. Cutting public spending
means laying off workers and shrinking services that are needed more than
ever in the downturn.
Of course, if the rainy day fund is raided during good times, higher taxes
or reduced spending are required when the economy loses speed. Neither is
desirable at those times, but cutting government spending curtails the
economy much more than a progressive tax increase.
• Expand family supports. Lost jobs, lowered incomes, unpayable mortgages
and too many debts all become more common in a recession and its wake.
Providing support for those hit by these hardships helps families weather
the hard times and keeps money flowing to stimulate local economies.
There are proven examples and new innovations to help people survive
slumps. Here are four Ohio should embrace:
-- Expand unemployment insurance. Unemployment insurance is the first line
of defense in a recession, providing income support to laid-off workers
and stabilizing the economy. A recent study commissioned by the Department
of Labor concluded that such a remedy slows job loss and bolsters the
economy in recessions.
-- Promote existing federal assistance. We should ensure that those
eligible file for the Earned Income Tax Credit, claim food stamps, use
Medicaid and tap into other federal sources of assistance.
-- Innovate to prevent recession-related catastrophes. Foreclosure
prevention funds in Pennsylvania allow the government to help strapped
borrowers maintain mortgage payments. Massachusetts has helped maintain
health insurance for laid-off workers. Such innovations can avert family
disasters and keep communities solvent.
-- Invest in human capital. A recession is a good time to return to school
or training, ride out the job bust and be better prepared for future
openings. Ohio should better fund higher education and reform its
displaced worker training, putting the state in position to recover from
the downturn.
• Demand federal fiscal relief. While national policy should have been
focused on assisting those who had lost their jobs or seen incomes drop,
it was instead centered on tax cuts for the wealthy. Such breaks do little
to stimulate the economy and nothing to relieve need. Now is a time when
federal resources should be used to get the power back on around the
nation.
Akron Beacon Journal 09/01/2003
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